A poll in Georgia, North Carolina finds Trump likely, Harris nearly tied

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the vital battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS.

In Georgia, Trump can edge Harris among likely voters, 48% to 47%, while the results in North Carolina are reversed, with Harris leading 48% to Trump’s 47%. Results are within the margin of error in both states.

Trump has won North Carolina twice, in 2016 by nearly four percentage points and in 2020 by just over one point. In the past 20 years, former President Barack Obama was the only Democrat to win North Carolina, and that was by less than half a point in 2008. The Tar Heel state has 16 electoral college votes.

TRUMP LEADS HARRIS IN GEORGIA 2 WEEKS FROM ELECTION DAY, FINDS POLLS

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at the Rocky Mount Event Center in Rocky Mount, North Carolina on Wednesday. Vice President Harris leads 48% to Trump’s 47% in North Carolina, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

Trump held a rally Wednesday afternoon in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, while Harris made his case in North Carolina’s capital, Raleigh, stressing how important this state will be in deciding who the next president is. Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, is in North Carolina today for a “Gen Z Town Hall.”

The CNN/SSRS North Carolina poll comes after a Fox News poll showed Trump leading 49%-47% among likely voters, while third-party candidates gained 4%. The previous Fox News poll of North Carolina voters, released in September, also had Trump favored by just a touch among likely voters and Harris narrowly up among registered voters.

Meanwhile, an Atlanta Journal-Constitution and University of Georgia poll last week found Trump with 47% support in the state, compared to Harris’ 43%. The Peach State also has 16 electoral votes.

President Biden narrowly edged Trump in Georgia in 2020 to become the first Democrat to carry the state in a race for the White House in nearly 30 years since former President Bill Clinton in 1992.

The CNN/SSRS polls released Thursday showed that an overwhelming 95% of likely voters in each state now say they have decided their vote, with more than half of likely voters in both Georgia (59%) and North Carolina (52%) say they have already cast their vote.

FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP STILL LEADING AHEAD OF HARRIS IN NORTH CAROLINA

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the vital battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

Harris has a seven-point margin in Georgia among those who have already voted, and she leads by six points in North Carolina, according to the CNN/SSRS poll.

About two-thirds of Harris supporters in both states say they mostly vote to support Harris rather than oppose Trump.

Higher majorities of Trump voters in both states — 81% in Georgia and 75% in North Carolina — say their vote is primarily about support for the former president, rather than opposition to Harris.

In North Carolina, Trump leads by seven points among men, and Harris leads by nine points among women. In Georgia, men favor Trump by the same margin, but women are closer to evenly split (49% favor Harris, 47% Trump).

Harris also leads among black likely voters in both states by significant margins, 84% to 13% in Georgia and 78% to 19% in North Carolina. The vice president also leads among voters with college degrees, 55% to 39% in Georgia and by 53% to 42% in North Carolina, the CNN/SSRS polls found.

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A man fills out a ballot at a polling booth on May 17, 2022 in Mt. Gilead, North Carolina. (Getty Images)

White college graduates split roughly equally in both states, with 50% for Harris compared to 47% for Trump in North Carolina and 48% for Trump in Georgia compared to Harris’ 46%. Trump has a commanding lead, 81% to 15%, among white voters without college degrees in Georgia. He leads that group by a less overwhelming margin, 65% to 31%, in North Carolina.

The White House’s response to Hurricane Helene is faring poorly, with 42% of likely voters in Georgia approving of its response, but only 36% of respondents in North Carolina saying they approve of the way the Biden administration has handled the disaster on.

In the North Carolina governor’s race, Democrat Josh Stein has a significant lead over the Republican Mark Robinson53% to 37%, among likely voters.

Voting was conducted online and by telephone from October 23 to October 28 with 732 voters in Georgia and 750 in North Carolina. The margin of error is 4.7% in both states among likely voters.

Fox News’ Dana Blanton and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.