New presidential polls released in PA, MI, WI: See results

On November 1, 2024By Littum

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied in two battleground states, with Trump ahead in one three new polls released by Echelon Insights on Thursday.

The polls show the candidates tied in Michigan and Wisconsin with Trump ahead in Pennsylvania. The three states are part of the “blue wall,” a collection of industrial Midwestern states that have traditionally been part of Democratic victories but were key swings in Trump’s 2016 victory.

The three states account for 44 electoral votes in the 2024 election.

Each poll sampled 600 likely voters in the state from Oct. 27 to 30, with 80% of respondents sampled via text-to-web and 20% of respondents through a landline phone call.

The race remains close with five days of campaigning left for voters to make up their minds. Both Harris and Trump are scheduled to speak in Nevada, one of the seven states that could swing the election.

Here’s what you need to know about the latest Echelon Insights polls.

Trump leads Harris in Pennsylvania

Echelon found it Trump leads Harris by 6% in the head-to-head matchup they polled and by 5% when third parties were included.

The survey found that 92% of respondents were at least highly motivated to vote and that 32% of respondents had already voted.

Fifty-eight percent of respondents said they disapproved of President Joe Biden’s tenure, while 49% disapproved of Trump’s time in office.

The measurement had a margin of error of ± 4.5%.

Harris and Trump were tied in Michigan

That’s what the pollster found Harris and Trump are tied in Michigan with 48% head-to-head and 47% when third parties are included.

The survey found that 93% of respondents were at least highly motivated to vote and that 49% of respondents had already voted.

A majority of those polled said they disapproved of both Biden’s and Trump’s tenures, with 56% disapproving of Biden’s and 50% disapproving of Trump’s.

The measurement had a margin of error of ± 4.4%.

Harris and Trump were tied in Wisconsin

The final poll released by Echelon found that Harris and Trump are also tied in Wisconsin at 49% head-to-head and at 48% when third parties are included.

The survey found that 95% of respondents were at least highly motivated to vote and that 44% of respondents had already voted.

Wisconsin respondents disapproved of both Biden’s and Trump’s time in office, with 54% and 51% of respondents expressing their disapproval, respectively.

The measurement had a margin of error of ± 4.5%.

Things to remember when voting

The margin of error describes how precisely we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew has too found that the majority of polls have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, in which Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.